Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Earthquakes and Bombs: Ways of Seeing: Stand Back from the Forrest in the Case of a Region Comprised of Areas of Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Surrounding, Might be a Disaster Area for the Rest of April 2013; Boston Marathon Bombs Bring Up the Subject of Not Losing 'Eyes on the Ball' of Other Crimes

A question that puts the claim of the region of the 5 give or take a few earthquakes that occurred in Oklahoma this morning might converge with the Van Buren County tornado that struck last week, is: were the earthquakes and Van Buren County close enough together to consider the total geographic region a disaster zone?
Location of earthquake epicenter: 7 miles east of Luther, Oklahoma.

It is about 300 miles from Botkinburg, Arkansas to Luther, Oklahoma.


screenshot of http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/10/arkansas-tornado-april-2012_n_3057686.html
 
How long before these severe weather conditions blow over?

Is there a generality that Oklahoma, Arkansas, and surrounding region, including regions in Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri, need to be prepared for both types of events, earthquakes and tornadoes, and might as well include hurricanes, over the next few weeks?

Do some folks that live in houses that are not very stable in terms of their construction, and, or, are way out in rural areas, if they have not already, might have increased safety if they were to collect their needed belongings, and head to a region not as turbulent for a couple of weeks?

Are there temporary emergency bunkers built in those regions in case earthquakes/tornadoes/hurricanes hit again in the next few days?

Tornado conditions additionally affected Mississippi, Missouri, and Alabama last week, causing damage.
original map before diagram courtesy Google maps; click for larger view



On the Boston Marathon tragedy yesterday.
It is wonderful that there is an outpouring of emotional support, YouTube postings, etc.; at the same time, the rates of abducted/ kidnapped/ abused children, averaged even on a daily basis is startling; no matter what happens, it is important that this aspect of safety be maintained.

Monday, April 15, 2013

Explosion at Boston Marathon. BREAKING EMERGENCY: Explosions at or Near: Marathon Sports, 671 Boylston Street, the Boston Marathon and Fairmount Copley Plaza Hotel

At least 2 explosions have been 'heard' at or near the Boston Marathon, and Fairmount Copley Plaza Hotel, an event that occurred minutes ago, 3:10pm Monday April 15, 2013. [posted at 3:10pm EST, explosions occurred about 2:45pm EST]

Another incident occurred at or near JFK Library around 4:20pm EST. [posted at about 4:50pm EST]

Whether it was 1 explosion or 2, or however many, is not entirely clear yet to post here. [posted about 3:45pm EST]

At least 2 people dead, according to some reports. [posted about 4pm EST]

2 explosions are reported to have been 15 to 20 seconds apart, about 50 to 100 yards apart. [posted about 5pm EST]

The type of blast is unclear as well, whether pyro-centered, or some other mechanism or mechanisms. [posted about 4:30pm EST]

there is talk of at least two of what appears to be the blasts being a result of bombs [posted about 4:30pm EST]

If there were 2 explosions, the questions of were they the same type of bomb or explosive mechanism, were they separate, are working their way into many news channels now, 4:20pm EST.

a lot of smoke, smoke exponential expanded moments after blast

at least one explosive device has reports of it being in a trash can



more recent 4:10pm EST live footage search: http://abcnews.go.com/blogs


"It happened around 2:45 p.m. outside Marathon Sports on Boylston Street"
source, see breaking unedited video here: 
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2013/04/15/several-hurt-in-explosions-at-boston-marathon-finish-line/

Click photo for larger view, a photo of incident:















responders on the scene photo here: http://www.businessinsider.com/explosion-at-boston-marathon-2013-4

other devices, for instance that look like possible bombs or explosive devices, are/have being detonated by law enforcement

comment: remindful of pipe bomb explosion that occurred at Atlanta, Georgia Olympics a few years ago

many of the injuries at first take diagnosis at hospitals are concussion injuries


Comment posted April 16 2013: many of the questions asked when the story was breaking, meaning yesterday afternoon, have been answered in news stories released today.  This concludes this post.

Thursday, April 11, 2013

Attacks at Community Colleges Has Gone Too Far

Community Colleges are not intended to be the battleground to stage attacks.  Attacks could come in the form of knife, gun, or some violent rampage.

A doctorate thesis requiring years of research is not necessary to come to this conclusion, and to state that the situation needs to be addressed.  Surely there are many that concur to this.

If you were to do all of 10 minutes of research on a history of attacks at community colleges within recent years, you will probably find a bundle.

An example of what is being discussed here, a quick list:
  • Texas
    • Lone Star Community College stabbing rampage earlier this week
    • Lone Star Community College, North Harris, January 22nd this year, shooting
  • Wyoming
    • 3 dead on November 30, 2012, last year, Casper College; bow-and-arrow type weapon reportedly involved
  • Florida
    • Stun Gun attack at Brevard College, June 18-19th, 2012 thereabout
  • Missouri
    • Man found shot near St. Louis Community College, February 20th, 2013, this year
  • Connecticut
    • Threat of Mass shooting at Gateway Community College, this year, same date as immediately above, 20th of February


This list might be updated soon.  Meanwhile there are enough incidents cited that the point has been more than made.




Friday, April 5, 2013

Japan Strategies to Reduce Inflation and Correlations to U.S. Economy. Thoughts of the Days Just Before and After 9-11.

It is asked, to ask the questions that come to mind after reading both of these stories, and answer those questions, with or without whether an analysis is necessary to do so:

Story 1, published by the NY Times this yesterday:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/05/business/global/japan-initiates-a-bold-bid-to-end-years-of-falling-prices.html?pagewanted=1&ref=world

Japan Initiates Bold Bid to End Years of Tumbling Prices

Story 2, written in September 2002:
http://www.fas.org/irp/crs/RL31617.pdf

Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web

The Economic Effects of 9/11:
A Retrospective Assessment

 

Highlights of story 1:
Japan Initiates Bold Bid to End Years of Tumbling Prices
April 4, 2013

TOKYO — Haruhiko Kuroda, the new governor of the Bank of Japan, delivered on his promise to drastically change Japan’s economic policy to end a long, debilitating era of deflation.

The central bank said it had inflated the economy by aggressively buying longer-term bonds and doubling its government bond holdings in two years. The bank said it would aim to create a robust 2 percent inflation rate “at the earliest possible time.”

Some economists were cautious, though. The central bank’s giant purchases of government debt could eventually be seen by investors as enabling runaway public spending, quashing confidence that Japan would ever pare its already sky-high public debt. They also said it could also drive up long-term interest rates.

Others argue that rising prices, once stoked, can be hard to control, a fear related to memories of Japan’s bubble economy of the 1980s and the subsequent painful collapse.

In a statement detailing the new measures, the bank said it would buy longer-term government bonds, lengthening the average maturity of its holdings to seven years from three years and expanding Japan’s monetary base to 270 trillion yen by March 2015.

Under that plan, the bank will buy about 7 trillion yen in bonds each month, equivalent to over 1 percent of its gross domestic product, which is almost twice the bond purchases of the United States Federal Reserve Bank.

 

Highlights of story 2:
The Economic Effects of 9/11:
A Retrospective Assessment
September 27, 2002

International Capital Flows and the Dollar
While international trade plays an important role in the U.S. economy, it is not the only role played by international forces. A characteristic of the economic
expansions of the 1980s and 1990s was the large net inflow of foreign capital to the United States. During the late 1990s, this net inflow furnished between one-third and one-half of the U.S. net saving. In times of international crisis and uncertainty, foreign capital has often sought refuge in the United States. This time, however, the United States is the battle ground. Even though there was no panic selling of dollar-denominated assets after 9/11, it would appear that there was a short run decline in the net purchase of U.S. assets by foreigners. This was clearly over by mid-October.
However, this may be due to timely action of the Federal Reserve, which restored confidence in the smooth functioning of the nation’s payments system, action supporting the dollar in international financial markets by the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank, among others, and interest rate cuts by key central banks in support of similar cuts by the Federal Reserve.
[[aprxmtly. page] CRS-3]

Prior to 9/11, the slowdown in the U.S. economy already was being transmitted to other economies through trade and investment channels, particularly through a sharp decline in U.S. imports of high-technology components from Asian suppliers.
The aftershocks of the terrorist attacks were felt immediately in foreign equity markets, in tourism and travel, in consumer attitudes, and in temporary capital flight from the United States. Central banking authorities worldwide reacted by injecting liquidity into their financial systems.
Still, the downturn in business conditions became more generalized, and the world has had to rely on China and the United States – the only two major economies to register significant growth – to pull itself out of the recession. By and large, however, the sharp immediate drop in stock values, airline travel, and general consumer confidence was temporary. After a few months, most began to turn upward again, but what recovery has occurred has been fragile and difficult to sustain.
The recession, along with increased government spending for the antiterror campaign, contributed to rising federal debt in the United States and other nations.
Combined with a weakening dollar that pushed up the exchange value of the yen, Euro, Chinese renminbi, and other currencies, central governments intervened to bolster the value of the dollar by purchasing more U.S. debt instruments. A side effect of this activity is that, despite Japan’s weak economy, its holdings of U.S. Treasury securities continue to rise ($321.0 billion by May 2002). China also has become a major foreign holder ($80.9 billion) of U.S. debt. [[apr. page] CRS-19]
 

The Bank of Japan intervened in foreign currency markets on five instances between September 11 and September 27 by buying dollars to stop the rise in the value of the yen. These efforts were undermined partially by
Japanese firms that were repatriating some U.S. holdings to shore up their
cash balances to meet financial reporting deadlines on September 30.
37[suprscrpt.]  [[page] CRS-25]
 

Since 9/11, in particular, stock market values in the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Canada, and Japan have tended to move in tandem with those in the United States (as measured by the S&P 500). [[apr. page] CRS-19]

Looking to the Future
In the aftermath of 9/11, it appears that the international economy has currently become a one-locomotive world. Only United States – with some help from China – has had the size and strength to provide the economic stimulus to world economies necessary to help pull them out of the global recession. Japan and Western Europe remained coupled to the U.S. business cycle and have remained dependent on exports for economic recovery rather than relying upon domestic fiscal and monetary policies. The limited recovery in their domestic sectors has been too weak and unsteady to counter the global downturn. For U.S. policymakers, therefore, actions to restore health to the American economy also may determine global economic conditions. In this sense, foreign and domestic economic interests coincide. [[apr. page] CRS-22]

Thursday, April 4, 2013

Computer Shopping Malls | What Happened at Search Engine Rankings

The reality of the market interested in computer shopping is evident, and the tide of online computer searches continues--
There are more people in China than the United States.
There are many people in China seeking computers online, inputing search queries.
There are many websites and Internet pages that discuss the term 'shopping malls', whether they are walk-in malls or online malls, that are in China and locations nearby, such as Japan, Hong Kong, and Thailand.
The result of simple math, reference elements like Google algorithms and logarithms for searches, Google search strategies and mechanics, shows that when you take the basic facts about the search term 'computer malls' in consideration, what happens is, the search results that appear on your screen are increasingly having to do with computer malls of China, Japan, Thailand and the regions surrounding.

What does this do for U.S. business?
Google is one of the most popularly used web search engines.
Apple Computer, with their iPads, and iPhones, although having a large share of the market, are not even appearing on search query results to the broader terms of computer mall, until several pages later.  And what about other leading computers, such as Dell?

Internet users stand the chance of clicking on the webpages that appear on the first set of listings that result from their search queries.  Are they going to surf through 15 Google pages of search results until they see a computer mall or company that is U.S.?  Maybe not, otherwise they would have put the term in the search query box.

A concern is, after time, U.S. computer companies and malls might not even show up on U.S. search engines, at least not soon enough that they access the market share that would be helpful to increasing market outreach.

In short, the situation is a basic flooding principle.  If you have two containers of water, each of them with a different food coloring, and you pour the water into an empty mixing bowl, when the amounts of water from each container are the same, you essentially get a color resultant of the mix of the two, for instance red water mixed with a blue, you get purple.  When the amount of red water is 100 times as much, the presence of the blue water does not show up, and the purple water in the mixing bowl, becomes predominantly red.  That is an analogy of what is happening to search engine results.  The number of queries and input related to computer malls from west China to the east edge of the Asian continent land mass and neighboring regions, have all but drowned-out desirable search results with U.S. in them.