Friday, October 12, 2018

Severe Storm Readiness Failures and a Shift to Whole New Solutions

When it is your house that gets pounded by a storm, reality hits hard, that some of the storms that have come through the continental areas of the U.S. roughly the last 5 years, were not to be taken lightly.

The cliches are already there, 'we should have evacuated', 'we should have put precious belongings in stronger containers', 'we should have taken a better insurance policy out'.  'I wish I was told sooner', 'let us assess the storm alert system'.

Looking at what just happened in the aftermath of 'Hurricane' 'Michael', this might be an appropriate time to amplify that there is a higher and broader light that acts as a guide to protect us from these storm tragedies.

It has been a while since a blog post, we are taking this one to Google Plus, Facebook, possibly a few.

Our ETIS Interactive Severe Weather Blog post about this 'Michael' storm, is here: https://sites.google.com/site/etisinteractive/top-weather-news-and-severe-storm-watch-alerts/hurricane-michael-destroys

Is it too late?

Well, the Creator stays ahead of the created, so there is little room for barely anyone to promote oneself to the place that they are going to be precisely correct with the solve-all panacea, every time an event of nature comes up.

Doing what you can to help, can be of help.

A lot of the blanks, and what we have to say at this moment has already been filled in, and surpassed before even completing this sentence.

In regard to why 'Hurricane' is in quotes, and 'Michael' in another set of quotes, has to do with some areas of discussion that are inappropriate to put on a severe weather blog, hence that is why it was not gone into.

The above now written, let us look into what might comprise some of this light that might make us fare a bit better with the pattern if storms that has 'kicked, many us down to our knees', the polite wordage for the euphemism that most of us know.

Starting with the itty-bitty circle of here are the storm types, here are the categories of severity.  Tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, flash floods, those are the popular terms most media pages have on them, either to warn, or to describe what has happened.  Over and over again, after a storm comes through an area, news media has miles and miles of area in photos and videos of property destroyed.  That loop has hit the days of disappointing antiquity.

We have far too much technology, and an overwhelming amount of intelligent individuals, capable of developing solutions to avert the kind of catastrophic destruction, individuals, and collective.

The descriptive constrictions might benefit from broadening up, in some way that successfully prevents there being too many storm descriptions and categories, that recipients of warnings that a storm is coming through can still keep track of.

When a person is in the middle of a storm like a hurricane, or rainfall is so heavy when they are in their car on the road, the likelihood they are calculating, 'this is a category 2 storm, and 3 minutes ago this was a category 5 storm', is probably about 0; they are probably more focused on trying to survive.

Many here, if the have the same or similar emotions as I, are simply sick of these storms that come blowing through the coasts, mid-Atlantic, East Coast, Gulf Coast, or West Coast, and several days later, here are the billions of dollars worth of destruction, displayed on the front page of almost every newspaper.  A few days later, the plight of the victims comes off the front page, and it is rare the victims' challenges EVER hit the newspaper again.

Wildfires out in areas like California, Oregon, and that region, have threads that point to a repeat of the discussion.  However, the pertinent element of reference here are storms involving high winds and rain, like the storm Michael.

Circling back to the subject of 'hurricane' in quotes alone, was this really a hurricane, when you look at all the behavioral patterns of the storm?  These storms cannot be boxed up with limited descriptions, with corresponding limited preparedness strategies.

When a test comes, you cannot throw a PhD level student a test that asks to complete the ABCs that was on the test in the first few years of grade school; it is not really a test any more.  The same hurricane elements being presented, '90 mph winds, 2 hours of rain, then the storm rolls off the coast and into the water', is not a formula that is going to show 100% of each and every time.

A step, is developing assessments of what goes into storm predictions that can encompass a broader scope of possibilities of storm behavior.

Preparedness and actions to perform that safeguard residents and visitors lives, need broadening up, and inserted in that new space, the space between what was the old small preparation strategy, and the new larger set of borders (circumscribed/parameters), clearly defined, or with partial boundaries, are plans, ideas, that are effective.

There are other questions that could be getting asked, such as, what are the construction materials and architectural designs for strength of houses that can withstand certain wind speeds, rainfall levels, or heat from wildfires?  There are companies that specialize in building these houses, but for many, the strategies are not widespread enough, and they do not get to partake of it.  Solutions that are common sense need to be everyday bread and butter.

The wheel was invented, and lion hunters were able to get away when hunting in villages fro ancient times, because their no vehicle could roll faster downhill than the lion could run.  Standing principle, for today's times.  Hurricane and tornadoes are coming to the coast, new storm patterns are emerging, combined storm systems are developing with hurricanes and floods both, their behaviors are not entirely predictable, we have to go above and beyond to a certain level, at least; there is a substantiated need for computers and climate study technology that can do more, predict more, and see new angles, in the effort to help keep residents safe from the storm.


Enough for now; promote continuing to reflect, and mix those reflections with assessments of the climate, not the effects on property, but the dimensions of what it is we are dealing with.
This writing entry might have more to be set in.

Brief historical background, roughly of the last 5 years in order of most recent:
'Hurricane' 'Michael'
Florence
Gordon
Maria
Irma
Harvey
Matthew
El Reno Tornado

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