Showing posts with label evacuation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label evacuation. Show all posts

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Wild Bears and Wild Fires. Wild Bear Warnings, As Wildfires Fought and Evacuations. Northern California Focus. What Happens Next? Answers Got At in This Blog Post

Polar bears, which can travel nearly impossible distances, through the water, and land, and climb vertical heights as if they had a rope pulling them, might be coming from the west.  This means the coast of upper northwestern part of California.

Brown or black bears might be coming down from the areas just north of the northernmost state line of California.  Them travelling southward into California.

Then, logically in between, there are bears that are mixed breeds of brown bear and polar bears, that might be coming from the areas, likewise, in between, where the polar bears and brown bears would be coming from.

This is just an opinion, and not an in-depth study of bear behavior in California, however, earlier articles from ETIS, and many sources, have examined bears behavior enough in the last 5 years, that it is safe to say, that exercising acting prudent, when it comes to bears, especially in the aftermath of the fires that are burning in California right now, which there are somewhere between 9 and 15, roughly, wouldn't hurt.

It might be wise to hold to consider, that, the kind of bear activities described here, is not out of the question.

The process, in theory goes something like this:
Nature has its order of events.
Fires took place, which resulted in people moving out, on a practical level, they evacuated; houses were destroyed.
In the interim before returning to their houses, if they return at all, or return to rebuild, bears of different gradations make their presence.
A danger is, since there has been a fire, there might also be the disruption of tracking all these animals.  If any just 'popped up out of the water' and ran inland, that have never been tracked before, there could be the possibility of large bears, in those residential areas.

Further haunts are, the bears are not seen or heard from, and are virtually hidden from the human population, for lengths of time, then, suddenly they make their presence known, hopefully, it is not a disastrous one.

Once humans leave an area, this is a new 'playground' and 'feeding ground' for some of these wilder animals.

Summing up, once the fires have ended, and the aftermath is upon us, be on your guard as to the possibilities of bears and other animals making their mark.



Wednesday, June 13, 2012

WILDFIRES East to West Sweep & Roundup. Update for June 13, 2012

There are about 20 to 25 wildfires currently raging big enough to gain either media attention or the radar screen of NIFC, the Interagency Fire center.

Looking at the continental United States, first, starting in the east, which is Washington DC, and looking westward:
{Updated 6/15/2012: Serious concern and consideration for PREPAREDNESS is}Georgia, there is [updated June 15, 2012] the threat of wildfires there.  This is based off what occurred this time in June last year 2011, where over 400,000 acres were torched due to fires of different kinds, about 3 quarters of that, the land that was burnt was the Honey Prairie fire on the  Okefenokee Swamp . a wildfire there.  In the past few months, there have been brushfires in Georgia, but these fires are not of the magnitude to be placed up in the level of severity or threat warning escalation with the larger wildfires that are going on such as in High Park, Co-/Little Bear, NM.

The two biggest wildfires going on right now are the High Park, Colorado fire, and Little Bear, New Mexico fire.

High Park, Colorado fire, which is in the northernmost part of the state, namely Larimer County, and sits the first county in the center of the state of Colorado right below the Wyoming border.  The fire, if 60,000 acres, is about 10miles long and 10 miles wide.  Although it is only a few miles compared to the entire land mass of, Colorado or Wyoming, the concern is the 10 miles long and wide, or 100 square miles, is straight fire, nothing but fire, which if not contained and controlled, could expand very quickly, has extreme heat, and could have ramifications that include chemicals mixes in the air that are very dangerous.  There is a mountainous range there with fern trees on it, the trees appearing to be the majority of the fire fuel.  The area of the fire is about double what it was on Saturday when it is said by media to have started.  There are about 12 aerial vehicles working on it.  Some fire manager say they have enough of what they need in terms of access to getting what they need.  Complete containment, albeit, still has not been reached according to recent reports, as of today 5pm EST June 13, 2012.

Directly below the High Park fire in Colorado, on the exact same longitude line, 105, there is a fire in new Mexico, namely 'Little Bear', which has been raging longer than the High Park fire.

Working from east to west on the continental U.S., after the Georgia fire, [updated 6/152012 up there as the first stop] there is a fire in the northern part of  Michigan.  The pictures of the fire show that the fire itself, is very violent.  Michigan can be deceptive to the eyes in terms of what geographic land masses constitute the state.  there is the large part that looks like a bear claw, then, there is another area north of it separated by water that looks like, or shaped similar to a T-bone steak.  At the northern central part of this T-bone steak shape, is where the Duck Lake fire is, which is just north of Newberry, Michigan.  Duck Lake is northeast of Chicago, Illinois.  Duck Lake, when talking about the fire, is a land mass, not the lake; it is not a fire on a lake, such as fire if there was a gas or oil spill on the surface of the water that ignited.  Be cautioned that there is another Duck Lake in the southern region of Michigan, which is NOT the location of the Duck Lake fire.  Duck Lake fire is the name given to the fire which emergency responders all know what is being referred to; there are other names of this area that are suffering from the fire, such as the Lake Superior shoreline.  The top edge of the T-bone shape land mass part of Michigan is bordered with the southern parts of the waters of lake Superior, on of the 'Great Lakes'.

The next stop, moving west from Michigan, drop down to the middle of the country, the Heartland, and there is a fire right in the middle of Kansas.  Information on internet is harder to come by for this fire.  The fire is named Sylvan fire. The location of the fire is just northwest of Wichita, Kansas, it is north of Hutchison, and west of Salina, probably the closest town to the fire, which is Ellsworth, the fire is just miles east.  Again, be careful about matching name with places, as there is another place named Sylvan, [Sylvan Grove], which is in the eastern part of Kansas; that is not where the fire is.  The level of containment of the fire, is not found on many national media websites.

After the Sylvan fire, what is arguably the closest 2 fires from it, are both the High park in Colorado, and the Little Bear in New Mexico, which are about equidistant from Kansas, meaning about the same distance away; only thing is, the High Park fire, in Colorado, is obviously more northern in geographic location, and New Mexico, known for its warmer climate, in the southern part of the U.S., or toward it, further, the Little Bear fire is in the southern part of New Mexico.  Additional information about these geographic locations, is, Colorado is a large state, and although known for cold winters and dry air, is not exempt from dry climate that facilitates fires.  These 2 fires, are the only 2 coded the same according to the report of NIRC June 12, 2012, in terms of how they are being treated by firefighting.  Basically, these are the big 2, and of very serious concern, threatening, and very dangerous.

Just above Colorado, and the High Park fire, there are 2 fires burning not too far from each other in Wyoming, in the southeastern part of the state.

Dropping back down to Colorado, there is another fire at the very southern border, the 'Little Sand' fire.  The location is about 1 quarter of the way from the very southwestern corner of the state.

Back in New Mexico, which is the state directly south of Colorado, there are several fires burning scattered throughout the state.

Directly left, moving westward from New Mexico, is Arizona, clearly in the southwest.  They have several fires burning throughout the state, in different areas.  There are ones big enough to be listed, and there seem to be smaller ones, although no less dangerous in their ingredients, that might get put out in a day or so, which might not make the list.  Fire '257' toward the center of Arizona seems to be ranked the biggest and most dangerous, while the Gladiator fire, a few miles to the west of that one, and a little more north, still toward the center of the geographic region of the state, received much coverage about 3 weeks ago, and appears to be winding down, getting closer to 100% containment.

Directly north of Arizona, and west of Colorado, is Utah, which has a cluster of several fires burning toward the south central part of the state.

Nevada, west of Utah, is dealing with fires; 'Copper Mountain' fire, looks to be on the border shared with Utah and Nevada, toward the very north of both these states. The is another ['Barnes' fire], that looks almost  to be a duplicate situation of the Copper Mountain fire, on the border of these 2 states, only difference in location, is that it is toward the very south of these 2 states.

California has 1 fire right in the very middle of the state, 'George' fire. According to the 'incident report' on June 9, 2012, which was 4 days ago, the fire started on the 1st of June, 2012, about 2 weeks ago; the fire is about 70% contained; not a lot of structural damage; the fire effects mainly Sequoia National Forest, Freeman Creek Giant Sequoia Grove, and  Giant Sequoia National Monument; about 1800 acres have burned.
The report is at:
http://www.inciweb.org/incident/article/2885/14151/
For a practical or better idea of the size of the fire,1800 acres is just under 3 square miles, [2.81 to be closer] which means, if the fire was in the shape of a box, on side of the box is the square root of 3, which is about 1.73 miles, or about between 1 and a half miles and 1 and three quarters of a mile, on each side of the box; more precise is 1.68 miles, which is about 1 and 2 thirds of a mile,  on each side.  The fire is east of Fresno, California near the main highway artery running north of Sequoia National Forest.  Mount Whitney and Ovens Lake is right around and to the north of the fire, and to the south of the fire is Owens Lake.
Just as the name implies, the fire there is adjacent the mountainous region of California.





Tuesday, June 12, 2012

WILDFIRES :Exact Locations, Maps, Practical Details ==Project. About Fires Currently Raging

Undertaking in progress is to provide maps and practical details pertinent the wildfires grouped in the previous blog post.
Graphics, mostly modified* from original maps and satellites will be uploaded as they are readied.
*modified means original map has been copied as exactly, with notes and additional graphics placed on top; some portions of maps may have been chopped for the sake of space which are clearly indicated



Wildfires by state
Report date 6/11/2012 with exception to one fire, referenced by NIRC
Organized by largest number of wildfires per state


Arizona
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,area, details   
  • 35.436,-109.540,WIDE RUINS 2,AZ-NAA-074,578   
  • 34.215,-112.338,GLADIATOR,AZ-PNF-120266,16240, front page news in the middle of May 2012; locations nearby include, town of Crown King, Battle Flat, Turkey Creek, see Frame set 3 further below on this blog post for recent bulletin 
  • 31.783,-111.609,MONTEZUMA,AZ-PPA-000334,1700
  • 33.249,-111.086,257,AZ-TNF-075,3157


Utah
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails
  • 38.231,-111.506,LOST LAKE,UT-FIF-000082,2075   
  • 38.459,-112.061,BOX CREEK,UT-FIF-000083,2018   
  • 37.976,-111.563,LAKE CREEK,UT-DIF-120178,1200, report_date 06/10/2012
  • 41.197,-113.965,COPPER MOUNTAIN,UT-SLD-000240,680


New Mexico
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,area, details
  • 33.419,-105.830,LITTLE BEAR,NM-LNF-007,34651, southern region of the state
  • 33.345,-108.710,WHITEWATER-BALDY,NM-GNF-000143,278708,06/11/2012
  • 35.664,-106.561,BEAR SPRINGS,NM-SNF-000112,622,06/11/2012


Nevada
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 40.404,-118.276,ROCKY CANYON,NV-WID-20092,371   
  • 37.518,-114.434,BARNES,NV-ELD-40055,357


Wyoming
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 42.298,-104.783,GUERNSEY STATE PARK,WY-HPD-012078,2500   
  • 42.191,-105.376,COW CAMP,WY-MBF-012069,8492   


Colorado
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 37.403,-107.243,LITTLE SAND,CO-SJF-00133,8478   
  • 40.589,-105.404,HIGH PARK,CO-LRX-329,41140, northern area of the state near north border, mountainous region   


Alaska
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 67.339,-158.566,NEKAKTE,AK-GAD-000184,6357, northwestern area of majority of Alaska land mass   
  • 67.067,-156.383,KOGOLUKTUK RIVER,AK-GAD-000182,1600,  northwestern area of majority of Alaska land mass


Kansas
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 38.885, -98.382,SYLVAN,KS-KSX-499,2000   


Idaho
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 43.348,-116.414,KAVE,ID-BOD-000226,560,06/10/2012


California
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 36.149,-118.505,GEORGE,CA-SQF-1384,1707, central California      


Michigan
          latitude,longitude,fire name,fire_number,areadetails 
  • 46.533, -85.424,DUCK LAKE,MI-MIS-1248007,21069, located in Calhoun, Michigan*, the northern part of the state.  *There is another Duck Lake that is not subjected to a large wildfire, in the southern central area of Michigan, not too far from the Indiana, and Ohio borders
List composed June 12, 2012.  Information provided by NIRC with exception to details, county lookup, and arrangement.


In order to read the notes on the diagram and see the graphics more clearly, either click the diagram enclosed in the red border, or right click and select open in new window; the original size, enlarged should appear in the new window.


Frame set 1/ Little Bear, New Mexico fire:
click on diagram for enlarged image that opens on new web page






















Frame set 2/: Duck Lake, [Calhoun,] Michigan fire:
click to enlarge
























Frame set 3:/ Gladiator fire in Arizona


The following content has been cut/copied/pasted from http://inciweb.org/incident/article/2864/14138/ with parts highlighted, text color and font changes, and parts omitted.  Important note, the status of the following reflects June 8th, 2012, and is not current as of June 13, 2012.

Gladiator Fire - June 8, 2012
Incident: Gladiator Wildfire
Released: 5 days ago
Gladiator Fire
June 8, 2012
Size: Approximately 16,240 acres
Containment: 90%
Cause: Human caused; originated from a structure fire on private property
Cost: $14 million
Terrain: Steep, rugged, brushy with very difficult access
Resources: 4 Engines
Total no. of personnel: 21 personnel Injuries to date: 8 Structures destroyed: 6

NOTE: The Next Release Will Be On Wednesday, June 13
Insignificant fire behavior has been observed all week. Crews are still finding and extinguishing smoldering fuels in the interior as they continue to mop-up. Fire personnel will continue to patrol and monitor the perimeter this weekend for hot-spots and hazardous trees damaged by the fire.

Current Fire Restrictions for the Prescott NF
The following fire restrictions will go into effect Friday, June 8, 2012, at 8:00 am for the entire Prescott National Forest:

- The use of campfires, charcoal grills, and stove fires (wood, charcoal, and coal burning) are prohibited on all Prescott National Forest lands. This now includes developed campsites and campgrounds.
  • - Use of explosives is prohibited.
  • - Smoking is prohibited, except within an enclosed vehicle or building.
  • - Operating a chainsaw, or other equipment powered by an internal combustion engine, is prohibited between the hours of 9:00 am to 8:00 pm. During acceptable hours, please have 5-10 ft. clearance around your generators and other internal combustible engines.
  • - Welding or operating acetylene or other torch with open flame is prohibited.
  • - Discharging a firearm, air rifle, or gas gun is prohibited except while engaged in a lawful hunt
The use of petroleum-fueled stoves, lanterns or heating devices is allowed, providing such devices meet the fire underwriter's specifications for safety.
The public is reminded that fireworks and operating or using any internal or external combustion engine without a spark arresting device properly installed, maintained, and in effective working are always prohibited on all national forest lands.
A Yavapai County fire ban is in effect across all fire ban zones. For AZ Fire Info & Restrictions Information call 1-877-864-6985 or visit http://wildlandfire.az.gov/.
The public can obtain fire information via the following:

Monday, June 11, 2012

Wildfires Raging on June 11, 2012. Year-round 'Wildfire Season', then Season within the Season

June 12, 2012:  The closer number of large wildfires is 23.

Apparently there are about 18 wildfires There are about 23 wildfires currently raging in different part of the United States.
Wildfires means large fires covering square miles [or acres] at a time.
Big ones are:
  • Larimer, Colorado [northernmost part of Colorado].  The High Park Fire.
  • New, Mexico [southernmost part of the state], in/around/near mountain region of Ruidoso, and Sierra Blanca mountain range
A more accurate regional and specific wildfire location and distribution map is directly below:
click on diagram to enlarge

According to ABC News [June 11, 2012], six states have been impacted heavily by wildfires, the 6 states suffering from fires that seem to head the list in the order [refer http://abcnews.go.com/US/wildfires...] they have it, are:

  • Arizona
  • Texas 
  • California 
  • New Mexico
  • Colorado
  • Georgia

click on diagram for enlarged image

Season within the season explained:
This means, that some wildfires, could rage in some areas year round, which could take away from the notion of a wildfire season occurring only in a part of the year.  Because wildfires are known for usually a higher rate of incidence per unit time, at certain times of the year, there is still wildfire season.  What is brought to the forefront with the year-round season concept, is not to wait until the what used to be historically seasonal cycle, for readiness to prevent and suppress wildfires.  Many things have happened over the course of time impacting a wildfire season, such as climatic changes, warming of geographic regions for different spans of time, and so on.

In geographical order, the 6 states, are in the southeastern portion of the U.S., Georgia; moving westward, Texas, in the south, which is toward the center of the country; moving northward, also near the center, is Colorado; toward the west, but not all the way west of the continental states, and in the south are NM, and Arizona, leaving Colorado is the northern most state effected by wildfires of the magnitude in this discussion; the possible exception, are fires in the northern part of California.

blog in progress

COLORADO WILDFIRE: Frustration & Ugliness: A Fire that Awoke Rip Van Winkle. The Fire is in Progress at the Moment of Writing this Blog

The fire has been named the High Park Fire.

Flames were seen racing uphill, at angles in the direction of the slant of the mountains, at more of an acute angle than the mountains themselves.

Where: Larimer County, Colorado {primarily}
  • Boulder County, Colorado {bordering and adjacent south of Larimer, of concern}
  • Jefferson County, Colorado {bordering and adjacent south of Boulder County, in stories, and of concern}
  • Broomfield, County, Colorado {bordering and adjacent southeast tip of Boulder County, of concern}
  • more specifics: east of Walden, west of Fort Collins


click on maps to enlarge
























Firefighters need help out there, as in more support, as of earlier this afternoon.
After 6pm EST, some emergency response management say they have all they need.
NOW, just like a fresh fire started, CAUTION, just as easily, another COULD start, adjacent, and exacerbate the current situation; so, in some sense, there can NEVER BE ENOUGH READINESS.

Opinion [:] Once the fire it completely out, then, it can be unanimously, all that they need to work against the fire is in place.  Other angles on containing and CONTROLLING the situation, in terms of contribution of teamwork strategies building, probably could not hurt.

   "We can get all the resources we want and need," he [the incident commander] said.
   But Colorado's House congressional delegation demanded that the U.S. Forest Service deploy more resources to the fire, which was zero percent contained and forced hundreds of people to abandon their homes.
 'New Mexico, Colorado fires burn out of control' [published about 6pmEST/June 11, 2012/AP]

Helicopters with water have arrived from Canada to help.

1 person is 'missing' thus far. [As of June 12, 2012, the missing person has been identified as a 62 year old woman, now deceased]

Door-to-door evacuations were/ are[?] being performed.

Stories have it the fire started Saturday morning {2 days ago}.

The description of the flames on video: bright orange flames, just like an orange colored crayon.  Huge white colored smoke clouds have formed, some looked like just the top part of a mushroom.  On top of some of the white clouds are dark-gray-colored clouds.

The fire DOES NOT seem to be CONTAINED as of yet.  12:45 EST [June 11].

20,000 acres were burnt in 48 hours.

Elements of 'whisping', winds, helping, the flames.  The kind of fire that could have awakened Rip Van Winkle.

What is a successful strategy for containing and putting the fire out?

The last footage seen, was the Colorado fire burning right now, is the kind of scene, fire loves, making due with the situation.  The situation is, it is in mountainous area of Colorado, which is more rural than a densely populated city.